Skip to content
LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Arcade Pack
NBA Top Shot · Pack #1606

Arcade Pack

Common4 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.25] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.25
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.50 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.25 ask
Typical Pull
$0.84
Grail premium $0.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.25 ask
FMV coverage
100%
691 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
351
of 14,991 minted · as of 2d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 2d ago
2.3%unopened
351 / 14,991 packs
Legendary0 / 23 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.15
Rare19 / 832 (2.3%)
5.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.5 · ≈ launch rate
Fandom0 / 1 (0.0%)
Common1,385 / 59,108 (2.3%)

Pull odds by tier

4 slots/pack · as of 2d ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Legendary0 / 230.0%depleted
Rare19 / 8321.4%~1 in 19
Fandom0 / 10.0%depleted
Common1,385 / 59,10899%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 691 of 691 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kenyon Martin Jr.
Kenyon Martin Jr.
Dunk · Mar 17, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Dunk · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Brandon Clarke
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Jan 12, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
Layup · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
Dunk · Jan 17, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
Dunk · Jan 7, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · Jan 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$2.75
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Franz Wagner
Franz Wagner
Assist · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jalen Brunson
Jalen Brunson
Layup · Nov 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.75
Recent Low
$0.88
Mint 500
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
Handles · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.67
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant
Handles · Feb 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.24
Mint 500
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Anfernee Simons
Anfernee Simons
Jump Shot · Dec 20, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Paolo Banchero
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
—
Mint 500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Domantas Sabonis
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Jan 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.006
DeMar DeRozan
DeMar DeRozan
Jump Shot · Nov 19, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.15
Mint 500
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Ja Morant
Ja Morant
Handles · Jan 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
LaMelo Ball
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Jan 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.82
Recent Low
$0.77
Mint 500
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Damian Lillard
Damian Lillard
Handles · Dec 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 500
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.006
Mikal Bridges
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 500
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Caris LeVert
Caris LeVert
Assist · Oct 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.61
Mint 500
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray
Layup · Jan 24, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Keldon Johnson
Keldon Johnson
Dunk · Jan 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Paul George
Paul George
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007