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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1614
NBA All-Star Standard Pack (Series 3, Release 4B)
Legendary4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$30.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.41 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.80
Grail premium $0.61 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
271 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
802
of 34,270 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago2.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 20 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06
Rare39 / 1,478 (2.6%)
4.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.3 · 1.1× launch rate
Common3,169 / 135,582 (2.3%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 20 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 39 / 1,478 | 1.2% | ~1 in 21 |
| Common | 3,169 / 135,582 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 271 of 271 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Scottie Barnes
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$19.99
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$11.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Devin Booker
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.65
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Darius Garland
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.75
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Jimmy Butler
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.15
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Domantas Sabonis
Assist · Feb 10, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Caris LeVert
Assist · Feb 10, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Marvin Bagley III
Dunk · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Andre Drummond
Block · Feb 15, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Cam Reddish
Layup · Jan 23, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Serge Ibaka
Block · Feb 15, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Robert Covington
Handles · Feb 16, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Josh Hart
Assist · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.021
Steven Adams
Assist · Dec 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.022
Naji Marshall
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Bobby Portis
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Mo Bamba
Dunk · Feb 9, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Lonnie Walker IV
Layup · Dec 18, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Grant Williams
Block · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
