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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1615
NBA All-Star Elite Pack (Series 3, Release 2)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$47.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.12 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $47.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.95
Grail premium $1.17 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $47.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
204 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
315
of 21,053 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago1.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 188 (0.5%)
0.32 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.89 · 0.4× launch rate
Rare34 / 2,495 (1.4%)
11 per 100 sealed packs · launch 12 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,540 / 102,582 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 188 | <0.1% | ~1 in 315 |
| Rare | 34 / 2,495 | 2.2% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 1,540 / 102,582 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 204 of 204 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Lamar Odom
Handles · Feb 12, 2000
NBA All-Star Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$99.00
Recent Low
$210
Mint 50
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Feb 2, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Jarrett Allen
Dunk · Jan 23, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.75
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Onyeka Okongwu
Dunk · Jan 30, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Franz Wagner
Dunk · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$9.49
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Paul George
Handles · Nov 17, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.003
Matisse Thybulle
Steal · Jan 28, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
D'Angelo Russell
Assist · Jan 8, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$6.35
Mint 749
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Anfernee Simons
Layup · Jan 11, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Gary Trent Jr.
Handles · Jan 30, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Ty Jerome
Assist · Feb 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Anthony Edwards
Handles · Nov 18, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.021
Ayo Dosunmu
Assist · Jan 16, 2022
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.03
Desmond Bane
3 Pointer · Jan 12, 2022
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.79%Wt 0.028
Josh Giddey
Layup · Nov 18, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024
Isaiah Stewart
Dunk · Dec 17, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.48%Wt 0.025
Nic Claxton
Dunk · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Jalen Suggs
Block · Jan 29, 2022
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Mason Plumlee
Assist · Jan 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.021
Maxi Kleber
Dunk · Jan 21, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.021
Jae'Sean Tate
Layup · Dec 4, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.79%Wt 0.028
Luguentz Dort
Dunk · Jan 25, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Austin Rivers
Layup · Jan 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.023
