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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1615
NBA All-Star Elite Pack (Series 3, Release 2)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $14.74 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
Typical Pull
$2.70
Grail premium $12.04 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
317
of 21,053 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 4h ago1.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 188 (0.5%)
Rare38 / 2,495 (1.5%)
Common3,076 / 102,582 (3.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 188 | <0.1% | ~1 in 623 |
| Rare | 38 / 2,495 | 1.2% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 3,076 / 102,582 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Lamar Odom
NBA All-Star Classics
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$189
Floor
$210
Mint 50
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.003
OG Anunoby
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$16.20
Floor
$18.00
Mint 749
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.013
Onyeka Okongwu
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$11.70
Floor
$13.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.009
Paul George
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$8.01
Floor
$8.90
Mint 749
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.016
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$7.89
Floor
$7.00
Mint 749
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.019
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$6.79
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.003
D'Angelo Russell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.55
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.009
Bradley Beal
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.11
Floor
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.003
Gary Trent Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.016
Richaun Holmes
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$5.71
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.009
Matisse Thybulle
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.016
Anfernee Simons
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$4.89
Floor
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.009
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.38
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.003
Ziaire Williams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.75
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 14.06%Wt 0.085
Cam Thomas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.39
Mint 12,000
Hit 7.29%Wt 0.044
Josh Giddey
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.27
Mint 17,500
Hit 24.48%Wt 0.148
Ayo Dosunmu
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 17,500
Hit 30.73%Wt 0.186
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.009