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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1616
NBA All-Star Elite Pack (Series 3, Release 4A)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$199
Actual EV
—
≈ $21.21 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $199
Typical Pull
$21.20
Grail premium $0.01 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $199
FMV coverage
100%
14 editions
Depletion
100%
live pool
Packs remaining
57
of 25,990 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 6h ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 228 (0.0%)
Rare26 / 8,764 (0.3%)
Common2,185 / 120,958 (1.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 228 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 26 / 8,764 | 1.2% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 2,185 / 120,958 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 14 of 14 (100%)Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$8.93
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018
Luka Dončić
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$6.31
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.053
LaMelo Ball
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$5.96
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018
Devin Booker
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.75
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.035
Joel Embiid
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 15.62%Wt 0.088
Jimmy Butler
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.35
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 15.62%Wt 0.088
Jayson Tatum
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 12.50%Wt 0.07
Karl-Anthony Towns
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018
Darius Garland
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.053
Fred VanVleet
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.035
Aaron Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.90
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.75
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.035
Cam Thomas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.39
Mint 12,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018
Mo Bamba
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.018