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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1616
NBA All-Star Elite Pack (Series 3, Release 4A)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$199
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.31 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $199 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $2.31 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $199 ask
FMV coverage
100%
118 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
57
of 25,990 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 228 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.88
Rare24 / 8,764 (0.3%)
42 per 100 sealed packs · launch 34 · 1.2× launch rate
Common261 / 120,958 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 228 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 24 / 8,764 | 8.4% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 261 / 120,958 | 92% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 118 of 118 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$11.11
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Austin Reaves
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$7.36
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.004
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.011
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Devin Booker
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.65
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Darius Garland
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.011
Jimmy Butler
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.75
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.004
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.15
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.004
Domantas Sabonis
Assist · Feb 10, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.014
Marvin Bagley III
Dunk · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Kevin Love
Assist · Feb 6, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 9,999
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Josh Hart
Assist · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Robert Covington
Handles · Feb 16, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Donovan Mitchell
Handles · Feb 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.021
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Jan 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Hassan Whiteside
Block · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Grant Williams
Block · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Max Strus
Dunk · Dec 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.021
Jakob Poeltl
3 Pointer · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.032
Duane Washington Jr.
Handles · Jan 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 12,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Bruce Brown
Layup · Feb 15, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
CJ Elleby
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 12,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025