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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1617
NBA All-Star Standard Pack (Series 3, Release 4A)
Legendary4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$38.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.46 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $38.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.80
Grail premium $0.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $38.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
248 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 12h ago
Packs remaining
713
of 35,359 minted · as of 12h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 12h ago2.0%unopened
Legendary1 / 25 (4.0%)
0.14 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.07 · 2.0× launch rate
Rare25 / 1,535 (1.6%)
3.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.3 · 0.8× launch rate
Common2,824 / 139,876 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 25 | <0.1% | ~1 in 713 |
| Rare | 25 / 1,535 | 0.9% | ~1 in 29 |
| Common | 2,824 / 139,876 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 248 of 248 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Tyrese Maxey
Layup · Feb 1, 2022
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$102
Recent Low
$173
Mint 99
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$11.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.75
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Domantas Sabonis
Assist · Feb 10, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Caris LeVert
Assist · Feb 10, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.019
Marvin Bagley III
Dunk · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.024
Andre Drummond
Block · Feb 15, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.024
Cam Reddish
Layup · Jan 23, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Serge Ibaka
Block · Feb 15, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 11,111
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.031
Robert Covington
Handles · Feb 16, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.024
Josh Hart
Assist · Feb 17, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Fred VanVleet
Handles · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Mo Bamba
Dunk · Feb 9, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Naji Marshall
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.021
Bobby Portis
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.019
Hassan Whiteside
Block · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Nikola Vučević
Dunk · Feb 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Grant Williams
Block · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.021
Lonnie Walker IV
Layup · Dec 18, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.021
Max Strus
Dunk · Dec 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.93%Wt 0.019
Jakob Poeltl
3 Pointer · Feb 12, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
