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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1618
NBA All-Star Elite Pack (Series 3, Release 3)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$70.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $32.83 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $70.00
Typical Pull
$2.00
Grail premium $30.83 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $70.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
935
of 46,029 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago2.0%unopened
Legendary3 / 188 (1.6%)
Rare210 / 9,099 (2.3%)
Common7,873 / 220,858 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 3 / 188 | <0.1% | ~1 in 539 |
| Rare | 210 / 9,099 | 2.6% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 7,873 / 220,858 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)Tracy McGrady
NBA All-Star Classics
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$1,620
Floor
$1,800
Mint 50
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Jason Williams
NBA All-Star Classics
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$990
Floor
$1,100
Mint 50
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.002
Nikola Jokić
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$10.39
Floor
$6.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.02
Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$8.93
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.032
DeMar DeRozan
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$5.69
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Ja Morant
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$5.20
Floor
$3.75
Mint 2,022
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.026
Trae Young
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.41
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.025
Jarrett Allen
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.39
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.018
Khris Middleton
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.26
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.016
Dejounte Murray
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.10
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 4.08%Wt 0.033
Zach LaVine
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.018
Andrew Wiggins
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$3.83
Floor
$3.50
Mint 2,022
Hit 2.76%Wt 0.022
Jalen Suggs
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.42
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.21
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.73
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Moses Moody
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$1.84
Floor
$0.55
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Davion Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$1.01
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Scottie Barnes
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.93
Floor
$0.25
Mint 17,500
Hit 13.55%Wt 0.11
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.75
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.34%Wt 0.035
Cam Thomas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.39
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Herbert Jones
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.10
Mint 17,500
Hit 18.42%Wt 0.15
Davion Mitchell
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.10
Mint 17,500
Hit 20.53%Wt 0.167
Jalen Green
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.10
Mint 17,500
Hit 13.95%Wt 0.113