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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1621
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 4)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$15.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.98 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$0.96
Grail premium $1.02 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
1,420
of 28,159 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago5.0%unopened
Rare62 / 1,297 (4.8%)
Common11,975 / 83,456 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 62 / 1,297 | 0.5% | ~1 in 65 |
| Common | 11,975 / 83,456 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$33.33
Floor
$25.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.011
James Harden
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$8.38
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.006
Andrew Nembhard
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$7.42
Floor
$8.25
Mint 777
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.005
Saddiq Bey
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.006
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.67
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.006
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.007
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 14.25%Wt 0.177
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 15.49%Wt 0.192
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.004
Russell Westbrook
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.84%Wt 0.135
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.011
Wendell Carter Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 6.41%Wt 0.08
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.35%Wt 0.203
Wesley Matthews
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.34%Wt 0.104
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.52%Wt 0.044
Jericho Sims
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.008
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.006
Aleksej Pokusevski
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.012
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.008
Darius Garland
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.73%Wt 0.071
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.48%Wt 0.056
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.02
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.015