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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1622
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 2)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$21.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.61 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $21.00
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $0.56 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $21.00
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
680
of 24,942 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 8h ago2.7%unopened
Rare31 / 1,147 (2.7%)
Common12,631 / 73,745 (17%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 31 / 1,147 | 0.2% | ~1 in 136 |
| Common | 12,631 / 73,745 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$35.20
Floor
$25.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.003
James Harden
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$12.60
Floor
$14.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$9.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.012
Andrew Nembhard
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.007
Saddiq Bey
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.007
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$5.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.007
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.004
Max Strus
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$2.98
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.004
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.71
Floor
$0.28
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.016
Wendell Carter Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.37
Mint 5,555
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.159
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 15.44%Wt 0.409
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.61%Wt 0.096
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.012
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 15.72%Wt 0.416
Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.01
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 18.11%Wt 0.479
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.024
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.015
Darius Garland
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 6.89%Wt 0.182
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,000
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.124
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 19.89%Wt 0.526
Donte DiVincenzo
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.024
Marcus Smart
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.025
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.021