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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1622
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 2)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$21.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $21.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.47 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $21.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
119 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
679
of 24,942 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago2.7%unopened
Rare30 / 1,147 (2.6%)
4.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.6 · ≈ launch rate
Common2,004 / 73,744 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 30 / 1,147 | 1.5% | ~1 in 23 |
| Common | 2,004 / 73,744 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 119 of 119 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Reel · Dec 31, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Dec 17, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
James Harden
Reel · Dec 24, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.001
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Jan 8, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Kevin Huerter
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.001
Austin Reaves
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Jabari Walker
Layup · Oct 25, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.56
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Bryce McGowens
Block · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.62
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.012
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
Jump Shot · Jan 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Monte Morris
Handles · Jan 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Gabe Vincent
3 Pointer · Jan 13, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.016
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Nov 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Jonas Valančiūnas
Handles · Dec 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Pascal Siakam
Layup · Jan 8, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Jan 7, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Thomas Bryant
Layup · Jan 8, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Dec 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Markelle Fultz
Steal · Jan 8, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Ben Simmons
Hook Shot · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019