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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1623
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 1)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$27.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.19 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $27.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.53 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $27.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
120 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
501
of 24,904 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago2.0%unopened
Rare28 / 1,234 (2.3%)
5.6 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 1.1× launch rate
Common1,474 / 73,535 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 28 / 1,234 | 1.9% | ~1 in 18 |
| Common | 1,474 / 73,535 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 120 of 120 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Reel · Dec 31, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Dec 17, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Jan 8, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Kevin Huerter
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Steph Curry
Handles · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Jabari Walker
Layup · Oct 25, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.56
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.015
Bryce McGowens
Block · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.62
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Trey Murphy III
Dunk · Oct 25, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
RJ Barrett
Dunk · Dec 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.017
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Monte Morris
Handles · Jan 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.017
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Nov 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Jan 7, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Reggie Jackson
Layup · Nov 30, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017
Pascal Siakam
Layup · Jan 8, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.017
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Dec 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.93%Wt 0.019
Cameron Johnson
Assist · Jan 20, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017
Onyeka Okongwu
Dunk · Jan 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.93%Wt 0.019
Aaron Gordon
Block · Dec 15, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Ben Simmons
Hook Shot · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018