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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1623
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 1)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$25.75
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.58 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.75
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $0.53 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.75
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
503
of 24,904 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 9h ago2.0%unopened
Rare28 / 1,234 (2.3%)
Common10,293 / 73,535 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 9h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 28 / 1,234 | 0.3% | ~1 in 123 |
| Common | 10,293 / 73,535 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$35.20
Floor
$25.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$9.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.01
Andrew Nembhard
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.008
Saddiq Bey
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.012
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$5.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.018
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.004
Max Strus
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$2.98
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.004
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.71
Floor
$0.28
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.024
Wendell Carter Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.37
Mint 5,555
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.111
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 14.15%Wt 0.416
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.98%Wt 0.087
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.014
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 16.99%Wt 0.499
Cameron Payne
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.012
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.014
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 18.21%Wt 0.535
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.032
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.014
Darius Garland
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 9.00%Wt 0.264
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.111
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 20.51%Wt 0.602
Donte DiVincenzo
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.018
Marcus Smart
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.03
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.026