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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1624
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 3)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.57 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $0.52 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
578
of 25,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 3h ago2.3%unopened
Rare23 / 1,158 (2.0%)
Common12,818 / 73,891 (17%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 3h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 23 / 1,158 | 0.2% | ~1 in 186 |
| Common | 12,818 / 73,891 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$35.20
Floor
$25.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.007
James Harden
Video Game Numbers
RARE5
FMV
$12.60
Floor
$14.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$9.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.007
Andrew Nembhard
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.003
Saddiq Bey
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.005
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$5.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.01
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.005
Max Strus
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$2.98
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.003
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.71
Floor
$0.28
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.021
Wendell Carter Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.37
Mint 5,555
Hit 5.17%Wt 0.163
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.69
Mint 15,500
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.007
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 14.84%Wt 0.467
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.135
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.019
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 16.93%Wt 0.533
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 16.93%Wt 0.533
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.99%Wt 0.031
Fred VanVleet
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.026
Darius Garland
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 7.92%Wt 0.249
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,000
Hit 4.51%Wt 0.142
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 19.30%Wt 0.607
Donte DiVincenzo
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.036
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.033
Marcus Smart
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.022