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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1624
Celebration of Stars: Hot Pack (Wave 3)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.14 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.69
Grail premium $0.45 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
122 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
577
of 25,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago2.3%unopened
Rare22 / 1,158 (1.9%)
3.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.6 · 0.8× launch rate
Common1,708 / 73,891 (2.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 22 / 1,158 | 1.3% | ~1 in 27 |
| Common | 1,708 / 73,891 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 122 of 122 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Reel · Dec 31, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Dec 17, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Jan 8, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Kevin Huerter
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Jabari Walker
Layup · Oct 25, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.56
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.50%Wt 0.015
Bryce McGowens
Block · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.62
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Wesley Matthews
3 Pointer · Oct 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
Jump Shot · Jan 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Trey Murphy III
Dunk · Oct 25, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Chris Duarte
3 Pointer · Oct 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.27%Wt 0.013
RJ Barrett
Dunk · Dec 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.27%Wt 0.013
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.018
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Jan 11, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Nov 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Jan 7, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.018
Cameron Johnson
Assist · Jan 20, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Dec 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Jamal Murray
Assist · Oct 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
Ben Simmons
Hook Shot · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.31%Wt 0.023
Deni Avdija
Block · Dec 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.021