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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1627

Locker Pack (Release 6)

Name: Locker Pack (Release 6)
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 4 USD

Common3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.57/pack▼ 94% below the $10.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 askTypical pull ≈ $0.57 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$10.00

Actual EV

$0.57

Net −$9.43 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask

Typical Pull

$0.57

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask

FMV coverage

100%

97 editions

Depletion

87%

pool · as of 3h ago

Packs remaining

9,740

of 74,600 minted · as of 3h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 3h ago

13%unopened

9,740 / 74,600 packs

Common29,217 / 223,800 (13%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 3h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	29,217 / 223,800	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kelly Olynyk	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.20	<$0.01
Moritz Wagner	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.22	<$0.01
Jakob Poeltl	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.19	<$0.01
JaMychal Green	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.18	<$0.01
Jarrett Allen	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.22	<$0.01
Facundo Campazzo	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.17	<$0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.18	<$0.01
Daniel Theis	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.20	<$0.01
Richaun Holmes	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.19	<$0.01
Javonte Green	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$0.19	<$0.01

Kelly Olynyk · Base Set	COMMON	2.12%	$0.20	2.2%
Moritz Wagner · Base Set	COMMON	1.85%	$0.22	2.2%
Jakob Poeltl · Base Set	COMMON	2.07%	$0.19	2.1%
JaMychal Green · Base Set	COMMON	2.07%	$0.18	2.0%
Jarrett Allen · Base Set	COMMON	1.68%	$0.22	2.0%
Facundo Campazzo · Base Set	COMMON	2.08%	$0.17	1.9%
Nemanja Bjelica · Base Set	COMMON	1.93%	$0.18	1.8%
Daniel Theis · Base Set	COMMON	1.67%	$0.20	1.8%
Richaun Holmes · Base Set	COMMON	1.74%	$0.19	1.8%
Javonte Green · Base Set	COMMON	1.73%	$0.19	1.7%
Jeff Green · Base Set	COMMON	1.71%	$0.19	1.7%
Killian Hayes · Base Set	COMMON	1.91%	$0.17	1.7%

Locker Pack (Release 6)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV