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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1653
Base Set (Series 2, Release 18)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$49.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.96 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
Typical Pull
$1.23
Grail premium $2.73 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
FMV coverage
100%
18 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
34
of 5,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 5h ago0.7%unopened
Common176 / 14,991 (1.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 176 / 14,991 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 18 of 18 (100%)LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$25.11
Floor
$23.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.69
Floor
$1.00
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Obi Toppin
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.01
Floor
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Precious Achiuwa
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.80
Floor
$0.89
Mint 15,000
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.059
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.77
Floor
$0.50
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 9.68%Wt 0.088
Clint Capela
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.26
Mint 12,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
JaVale McGee
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.45
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 9.68%Wt 0.088
Zach LaVine
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 9.68%Wt 0.088
Domantas Sabonis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.20
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Miles Bridges
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.28
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 19.35%Wt 0.176
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.29
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029
T.J. McConnell
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.21
Mint 15,000
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.059
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.26
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.029