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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1686
Base Set (Series 2, Release 23)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $9.00
Typical Pull
$1.23
Grail premium $0.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $9.00
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
246
of 25,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago1.0%unopened
Common1,139 / 74,978 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 1,139 / 74,978 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$25.11
Floor
$23.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$2.13
Floor
$1.00
Mint 15,000
Hit 4.61%Wt 0.057
Cole Anthony
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$2.09
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.008
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.69
Floor
$1.00
Mint 15,000
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.033
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.80
Floor
$0.89
Mint 15,000
Hit 7.89%Wt 0.098
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.77
Floor
$0.50
Mint 15,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.061
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.24
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.40
Mint 15,000
Hit 4.28%Wt 0.053
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.61
Floor
$0.23
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.041
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.049
JaVale McGee
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.024
Clint Capela
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.26
Mint 12,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.37
Mint 12,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.037
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.42
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 8.88%Wt 0.11
Zach LaVine
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.065
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.061
Domantas Sabonis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.20
Mint 15,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.037
Miles Bridges
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.28
Mint 15,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.028
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 8.55%Wt 0.106
T.J. McConnell
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.21
Mint 15,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.045
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.033