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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1691

Base Set (Series 2, Release 14)

Common3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$18.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 47% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
LeBron James · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$2.13	20.2%
Cam Reddish · Base Set	COMMON	8.57%	$0.80	11.4%
JaVale McGee · Base Set	COMMON	8.57%	$0.59	8.4%
Al Horford · Base Set	COMMON	14.29%	$0.34	8.0%
De'Aaron Fox · Base Set	COMMON	2.86%	$1.69	8.0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$0.64	6.1%
Miles Bridges · Base Set	COMMON	8.57%	$0.36	5.1%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$0.45	4.3%
Jordan Clarkson · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$0.41	3.9%
Devin Booker · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$0.40	3.8%
Steph Curry · Base Set	COMMON	2.86%	$0.77	3.6%
Michael Porter Jr. · Base Set	COMMON	5.71%	$0.35	3.3%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$18.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.81 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00

Typical Pull

$1.23

Grail premium $0.58 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00

FMV coverage

100%

18 editions

Depletion

99%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 3,000 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 54m ago

0.8%unopened

23 / 3,000 packs

Common118 / 8,999 (1.3%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 54m ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	118 / 8,999	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Base Set

$0.64

What's Inside

FMV priced 18 of 18 (100%)

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Thanasis Antetokounmpo

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 18

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
LeBron James	Base Set	COMMON	0.38%	$2.13	$0.02
Cam Reddish	Base Set	COMMON	0.57%	$0.80	$0.01
JaVale McGee	Base Set	COMMON	0.57%	$0.59	$0.01
Al Horford	Base Set	COMMON	0.95%	$0.34	$0.01
De'Aaron Fox	Base Set	COMMON	0.19%	$1.69	$0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	Base Set	COMMON	0.38%	$0.64	$0.01
Miles Bridges	Base Set	COMMON	0.57%	$0.36	$0.01
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	Base Set	COMMON	0.38%	$0.45	$0.01
Jordan Clarkson	Base Set	COMMON	0.38%	$0.41	<$0.01
Devin Booker	Base Set	COMMON	0.38%	$0.40	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 10:31:41 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.