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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1705

Starter Pack (Release 1)

Common3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$200] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Evan Mobley · Base Set	COMMON	0.55%	$9.64	13.9%
Jalen Johnson · Base Set	COMMON	0.41%	$8.88	9.6%
Derrick Rose · Base Set	COMMON	3.82%	$0.33	3.3%
Isaiah Roby · Base Set	COMMON	4.63%	$0.27	3.3%
Jordan Poole · Base Set	COMMON	4.77%	$0.26	3.3%
Jimmy Butler · Base Set	COMMON	4.63%	$0.25	3.1%
Kelly Olynyk · Base Set	COMMON	3.95%	$0.26	2.7%
Cole Anthony · Base Set	COMMON	2.59%	$0.37	2.5%
Jarrett Allen · Base Set	COMMON	3.54%	$0.27	2.5%
Malik Monk · Base Set	COMMON	3.41%	$0.28	2.5%
Andrew Wiggins · Base Set	COMMON	3.82%	$0.25	2.5%
Jalen Suggs · Base Set	COMMON	0.27%	$3.42	2.5%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$200

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $200

Typical Pull

$0.81

Grail premium $0.32 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $200

FMV coverage

100%

39 editions

Depletion

99%

live pool

Packs remaining

247

of 24,350 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 11h ago

1.0%unopened

247 / 24,350 packs

Common906 / 73,050 (1.2%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 11h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	906 / 73,050	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 39

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Evan Mobley	Base Set	COMMON	0.01%	$9.64	<$0.01
Jalen Johnson	Base Set	COMMON	0.00%	$8.88	<$0.01
Derrick Rose	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.33	<$0.01
Isaiah Roby	Base Set	COMMON	0.06%	$0.27	<$0.01
Jordan Poole	Base Set	COMMON	0.06%	$0.26	<$0.01
Jimmy Butler	Base Set	COMMON	0.06%	$0.25	<$0.01
Kelly Olynyk	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.26	<$0.01
Cole Anthony	Base Set	COMMON	0.03%	$0.37	<$0.01
Jarrett Allen	Base Set	COMMON	0.04%	$0.27	<$0.01
Malik Monk	Base Set	COMMON	0.04%	$0.28	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 9:13:17 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.