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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1765

WNBA Holo Icon Quick Rip

Name: WNBA Holo Icon Quick Rip
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 3 USD

Common1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.51/pack▼ 78% below the $2.35 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.35 askTypical pull ≈ $0.20 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.35] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

13,322

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

13,322

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$185

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.89

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

EV reality check

Modeled $0.51/packvs realized $1.15 avg · $0.21 median · $0.23 p90(2.25×)

Calibrated estimate $0.27/packmodel blended toward observed pulls

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 146 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Napheesa Collier · WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.06%	$126	15.1%
Jonquel Jones · WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.06%	$99.90	12.0%
Kahleah Copper

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.59 (90d)Last $2.38 · 2d agoRetail $2.4812,334 sales · 22 in 90d

trades ~1.04× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$2.35

Actual EV

$0.51

Net −$1.84 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.35 ask

Typical Pull

$0.20

Grail premium $0.31 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.22x

-78.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.35 ask

FMV coverage

100%

20 editions

Depletion

87%

pool · as of 20h ago

Packs remaining

3,274

of 26,011 minted · as of 20h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 20h ago

13%unopened

3,274 / 26,011 packs

Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)

0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.00

Legendary9 / 70 (13%)

0.27 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.27 · ≈ launch rate

Common3,265 / 25,940 (13%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 20h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Ultimate	0 / 1	0.0%	depleted
Legendary	9 / 70	0.3%	~1 in 364
Common	3,265 / 25,940	100%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Quintenchen	$3.00	120d ago
@Day_Trader	$3.00	123d ago
@Day_Trader	$3.00	123d ago
@Quintenchen	$3.00	128d ago
@WhatMeWorry	$3.00	134d ago
@Quintenchen	$3.00	135d ago
@splendid_dalmatian5322	$3.00	136d ago
@inmypants	$3.00	138d ago
@inmypants	$3.00	139d ago
@inmypants	$3.00	139d ago

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Affael1986	$2.38	2d ago
@TrigggaTreyy3	$2.39	2d ago
@Legendkillerbountyhunter	$2.48	6d ago
@Quintenchen	$2.20

WNBA Holo Icon Quick Rip

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV