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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1833
Elite Pack (Release 1)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$39.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.37 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $39.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.44
Grail premium $5.93 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $39.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
115
of 3,748 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.1%unopened
Rare115 / 3,748 (3.1%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common575 / 18,755 (3.1%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 115 / 3,748 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 575 / 18,755 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Mitchell
Dunk · Oct 28, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Nov 2, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039
Anfernee Simons
Hook Shot · Oct 22, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$10.89
Mint 777
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Josh Hart
3 Pointer · Nov 8, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.89
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 2.17%Wt 0.022
Talen Horton-Tucker
Dunk · Nov 8, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.041
Anthony Davis
Steal · Oct 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$1.80
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Jeremy Sochan
Dunk · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.15
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.74%Wt 0.017
Christian Koloko
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Block · Oct 26, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 5,555
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.038
Trey Murphy III
Dunk · Oct 25, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Damian Lillard
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.04%Wt 0.03
Alperen Şengün
Layup · Nov 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039
Keldon Johnson
3 Pointer · Oct 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039
Tyrese Haliburton
Handles · Oct 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.049
Paul George
Layup · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.029
Matt Ryan
3 Pointer · Nov 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Bones Hyland
Assist · Oct 22, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 5,555
Hit 3.19%Wt 0.032
Jaylen Nowell
Dunk · Oct 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.20%Wt 0.042
Goga Bitadze
Dunk · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.036
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Bol Bol
Dunk · Oct 28, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 5,555
Hit 5.65%Wt 0.057
Trae Young
Assist · Oct 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.78%Wt 0.048
Damion Lee
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Keldon Johnson
3 Pointer · Oct 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035