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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1833
Elite Pack (Release 1)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.75 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
Typical Pull
$1.92
Grail premium $2.83 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
118
of 3,748 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 3h ago3.1%unopened
Rare118 / 3,748 (3.1%)
Common1,923 / 18,755 (10%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 3h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 118 / 3,748 | 5.8% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 1,923 / 18,755 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Josh Hart
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$9.64
Floor
$1.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.136
Jayson Tatum
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$8.99
Floor
$6.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.237
Donovan Mitchell
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$7.66
Floor
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.237
Anfernee Simons
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$6.03
Floor
$5.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.153
Talen Horton-Tucker
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.51
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.237
Jeremy Sochan
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.46
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.102
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.69
Mint 15,500
Hit 10.63%Wt 1.839
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.50
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.297
Bol Bol
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.15
Mint 5,555
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.542
Paul George
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 13,500
Hit 3.82%Wt 0.661
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.347
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 12,000
Hit 5.10%Wt 0.881
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.22%Wt 1.076
Kevin Love
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.10%Wt 1.229
Tyrese Haliburton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.98%Wt 1.034
Matt Ryan
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.754
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.44%Wt 0.941
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.415
Wesley Matthews
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.381
Grant Williams
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.27
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.75%Wt 0.822
Alperen Şengün
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.28%Wt 1.432
Jaylen Nowell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.64%Wt 1.322
Damion Lee
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.95%Wt 0.856
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.364