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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1839
KD Certified Pack (Elite)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$69.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.25 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $69.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.95
Grail premium $1.30 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $69.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
204 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
337
of 24,860 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago1.4%unopened
Legendary4 / 371 (1.1%)
1.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.5 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare20 / 1,997 (1.0%)
5.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 8.0 · 0.7× launch rate
Common1,660 / 121,932 (1.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 4 / 371 | 0.2% | ~1 in 85 |
| Rare | 20 / 1,997 | 1.2% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 1,660 / 121,932 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 204 of 204 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luguentz Dort
Dunk · Nov 18, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$94.50
Recent Low
$105
Mint 99
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Miles Bridges
Dunk · Dec 2, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$49.49
Recent Low
$54.99
Mint 99
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Reggie Jackson
Dunk · Jan 12, 2022
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$37.50
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Kevin Durant
Layup · Dec 12, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Donovan Mitchell
Steal · Nov 30, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Jalen Johnson
3 Pointer · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Robert Williams III
Block · Jan 9, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.90
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Tre Mann
Dunk · Dec 11, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Eric Gordon
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Will Barton
Block · Oct 31, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.64
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Steph Curry
Handles · Oct 25, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.56%Wt 0.036
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Oct 26, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.38%Wt 0.034
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 10,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Layup · Nov 14, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Quentin Grimes
3 Pointer · Dec 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Dec 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Nikola Jokić
Assist · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Darius Garland
Assist · Nov 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Devin Booker
Layup · Nov 18, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 10,000
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.026
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Nov 12, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Ja Morant
Handles · Oct 24, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Patrick Beverley
Assist · Jan 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.021
Evan Fournier
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.84%Wt 0.018
Rudy Gobert
Block · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02