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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1839
KD Certified Pack (Elite)
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$85.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $14.43 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $85.00
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $11.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $85.00
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
341
of 24,860 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago1.4%unopened
Legendary5 / 371 (1.3%)
Rare20 / 1,997 (1.0%)
Common3,309 / 121,932 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 5 / 371 | 0.1% | ~1 in 134 |
| Rare | 20 / 1,997 | 0.6% | ~1 in 34 |
| Common | 3,309 / 121,932 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Luguentz Dort
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$120
Floor
$68.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Miles Bridges
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$110
Floor
$72.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.009
Reggie Jackson
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$87.50
Floor
$41.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Kevin Durant
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$12.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.018
Donovan Mitchell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$11.22
Floor
$9.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.006
Jalen Johnson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$8.88
Floor
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Tre Mann
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.009
Robert Williams III
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.46
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.009
Eric Gordon
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$5.17
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.006
Will Barton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.006
Monte Morris
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
De'Anthony Melton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$4.60
Floor
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Jalen Suggs
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.42
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.21
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.26
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Moses Moody
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$1.84
Floor
$0.55
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Steph Curry
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.65
Floor
$0.30
Mint 10,000
Hit 20.54%Wt 0.179
Anthony Edwards
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.30
Mint 10,000
Hit 19.87%Wt 0.173
Quentin Grimes
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.32
Mint 12,000
Hit 8.42%Wt 0.073
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 60,000
Hit 21.89%Wt 0.191
Derrick Jones Jr.
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.27
Mint 60,000
Hit 12.79%Wt 0.111
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.032
Mo Bamba
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.015
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.009