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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2062
Hot Packs (Release 1)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$16.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.39 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $16.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $0.76 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $16.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 4h ago
Packs remaining
1,771
of 63,416 minted · as of 4h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 4h ago2.8%unopened
Rare85 / 2,798 (3.0%)
4.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.4 · ≈ launch rate
Common5,214 / 187,959 (2.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 85 / 2,798 | 1.6% | ~1 in 21 |
| Common | 5,214 / 187,959 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$32.75
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Rudy Gobert
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$24.95
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Lauri Markkanen
Assist · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
John Wall
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$7.98
Mint 425
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Malcolm Brogdon
Hook Shot · Oct 18, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Christian Wood
Reel · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 425
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Bennedict Mathurin
Layup · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.75
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Jalen Smith
Block · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
Paul George
Layup · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.04
Austin Reaves
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.72%Wt 0.037
Jarred Vanderbilt
Dunk · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Michael Porter Jr.
Block · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Anthony Davis
Steal · Oct 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.43%Wt 0.044
Damian Lillard
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.13%Wt 0.041
Brook Lopez
Block · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039
Santi Aldama
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.04
Goga Bitadze
Dunk · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.87%Wt 0.039
Wesley Matthews
3 Pointer · Oct 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.81%Wt 0.038
Ayo Dosunmu
Handles · Dec 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.23%Wt 0.082
Andrew Wiggins
Steal · Oct 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.94%Wt 0.039
Grant Williams
3 Pointer · Oct 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.93%Wt 0.039
Nick Richards
Dunk · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.93%Wt 0.039
Will Barton
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.039