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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2062
Hot Packs (Release 1)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$17.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.22 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00
Typical Pull
$0.96
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
1,786
of 63,416 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 8h ago2.8%unopened
Rare85 / 2,798 (3.0%)
Common27,354 / 187,974 (15%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 85 / 2,798 | 0.3% | ~1 in 108 |
| Common | 27,354 / 187,974 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Lauri Markkanen
Fresh Threads
RARE5
FMV
$11.69
Floor
$12.99
Mint 425
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.008
Donovan Mitchell
Fresh Threads
RARE5
FMV
$11.25
Floor
$9.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.008
Bennedict Mathurin
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$2.76
Floor
$2.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.05
Paul George
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 13,500
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.651
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.74%Wt 0.728
Santi Aldama
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 4.96%Wt 0.763
Brook Lopez
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.32%Wt 0.664
Jarred Vanderbilt
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.743
Kristaps Porziņģis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.742
Andrew Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.31
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.47%Wt 0.687
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.769
Jalen Smith
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.81%Wt 0.74
Wesley Matthews
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.07%Wt 0.78
Will Barton
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.96%Wt 0.763
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.77%Wt 0.733
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.56
Nick Richards
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.449
Grant Williams
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.27
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.54%Wt 0.698
Royce O'Neale
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.98%Wt 0.765
Kelly Olynyk
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.758
Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.26
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.82%Wt 0.74
Damion Lee
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.72%Wt 0.725
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.57%Wt 0.702
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.22%Wt 0.494