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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2081
Arcade Pack - September 10 (Wave 1)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.78
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.78 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $0.13 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.78 ask
FMV coverage
100%
908 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 10h ago
Packs remaining
766
of 15,000 minted · as of 10h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 10h ago5.1%unopened
Legendary0 / 3 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Rare7 / 129 (5.4%)
0.91 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.86 · ≈ launch rate
Common3,823 / 74,867 (5.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 10h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 7 / 129 | 0.2% | ~1 in 110 |
| Common | 3,823 / 74,867 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 908 of 908 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kevin Durant
Layup · Dec 12, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Reel · Nov 23, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 27, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 400
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Feb 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Tyrese Haliburton
3 Pointer · Mar 5, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Feb 25, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.67
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.56
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Feb 25, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Isaac Okoro
Assist · Jan 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Mar 13, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Ayo Dosunmu
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Jalen Suggs
3 Pointer · Mar 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Josh Richardson
3 Pointer · Feb 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Chris Paul
Assist · Mar 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
James Wiseman
Dunk · Mar 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Luke Kennard
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Christian Braun
Layup · Feb 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Khris Middleton
Jump Shot · Nov 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Block · Mar 18, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
