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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2081

Arcade Pack - September 10 (Wave 1)

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.94] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

6,492

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

32,238

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1,065

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$8.73

per pack we could price

Realized pull value

Realized $14.84 avg · $11.62 median · $15.44 p90

Realized pull value · 72 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 30% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Video Game Numbers	RARE	33.34%	$7.75	32.4%
Kevin Durant · Metallic Gold LE	RARE	16.66%	$12.00	25.1%
Anthony Edwards · Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	16.66%	$8.50	17.8%
Tyrese Haliburton · For the Win

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $3.00 (90d)Last $3.00 · 2mo agoRetail $3.945,742 sales · 25 in 90d

trades 0.76× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$3.94

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.94

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.94

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

95%

live pool

Packs remaining

775

of 15,000 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 7h ago

5.2%unopened

775 / 15,000 packs

Legendary0 / 3 (0.0%)

Rare7 / 129 (5.4%)

Common3,848 / 74,867 (5.1%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 7h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	0 / 3	0.0%	depleted
Rare	7 / 129	0.2%	~1 in 111
Common	3,848 / 74,867	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs

$8.50

RareHit 33.34%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

What's Inside

pullable editions

Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@jfreezy	$9.00	101d ago
@Bucks_n_six	$9.00	105d ago
0xfb5c…b10a	$8.00	85d ago
@Aegistar	$7.00	45d ago
@Quintenchen	$6.00	117d ago
@TheHeadHoncho	$5.00	53d ago
@B3AS7	$4.00	64d ago
@Zorba	$4.00	64d ago
@Cheitib78	$4.00	74d ago
@Quintenchen	$4.00	81d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Aegistar	$7.00	45d ago
@TheHeadHoncho	$5.00	53d ago
@B3AS7	$4.00	64d ago
@Zorba	$4.00	64d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 5 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Video Game Numbers	RARE	33.34%	$7.75	$12.92
Kevin Durant	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	16.66%	$12.00	$10.00
Anthony Edwards	Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	16.66%