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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2088

Run It Back: Legacies September

Legendary2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $385/pack▼ 18% below the $467 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (81% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $467Typical pull ≈ $450 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$467] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

117

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$100

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$100

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 96% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Gary Payton · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	17.95%	$313	29.2%
Allan Houston · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	19.23%	$269	26.9%
Peja Stojaković · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	17.95%	$225	21.0%
Robert Horry · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	14.10%	$143	10.5%
Brandon Roy · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	14.10%	$110

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $379 · 10mo agoRetail $46736 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$467

Actual EV

$385

Net −$81.89 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (81% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $467

Typical Pull

$450

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.82x

-17.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (81% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $467

FMV coverage

100%

6 editions

Depletion

81%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 200 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 21h ago

20%unopened

39 / 200 packs

Legendary78 / 400 (20%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 21h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	78 / 400	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

LegendaryHit 17.95%

Gary Payton

Run It Back: Legacies

$313

LegendaryHit 19.23%

Allan Houston

Run It Back: Legacies

$269

LegendaryHit 17.95%

Peja Stojaković

Run It Back: Legacies

$225

LegendaryHit 14.10%

Robert Horry

Run It Back: Legacies

$143

LegendaryHit 14.10%

Brandon Roy

Run It Back: Legacies

$110

What's Inside

FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)

Gary Payton

Run It Back: Legacies

Run It Back: Legacies

Run It Back: Legacies

Run It Back: Legacies

Run It Back: Legacies

Run It Back: Legacies

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 6

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Gary Payton	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.92%	$313	$5.77
Allan Houston	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.99%	$269	$5.31
Peja Stojaković	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.92%	$225	$4.14
Robert Horry	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.72%	$143	$2.07
Brandon Roy	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.72%	$110	$1.59
Rajon Rondo	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.85%	$51.07	$0.87

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 10:43:10 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.