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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2128

2023 All-Star Weekend: 3-point Contest Winner

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $1.00/pack▼ 67% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00Typical pull ≈ $1.00 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.90

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.95

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Damian Lillard · 2023 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	100.00%	$1.00	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.00 (90d)Last $2.00 · 1mo agoRetail $3.006 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.67× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$3.00

Actual EV

$1.00

Net −$2.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

Typical Pull

$1.00

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.33x

-66.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

89%

live pool

Packs remaining

348

of 3,143 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 15h ago

11%unopened

348 / 3,143 packs

Fandom352 / 3,143 (11%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 15h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	352 / 3,143	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Damian Lillard	2023 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.29%	$1.00	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 1:43:25 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.