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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2161
2024 First Time All-Stars
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.00
Actual EV
$0.35
Net −$2.65 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.27
Grail premium $0.08 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.12x
-88.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
88%
live pool
Packs remaining
339
of 2,889 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21h ago12%unopened
Common339 / 2,889 (12%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 339 / 2,889 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$1.91
Floor
$1.00
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.36%Wt 0.024
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.75
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.01%Wt 0.05
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.24%Wt 0.032
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Anthony Edwards
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.42%Wt 0.044
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.42%Wt 0.044
Anthony Edwards
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Kevin Durant
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.72%Wt 0.047
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Kevin Durant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Bam Adebayo
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.90%Wt 0.059
Tyrese Maxey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Tyrese Maxey
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.65%Wt 0.027
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.78%Wt 0.068
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.19%Wt 0.062
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.24%Wt 0.032
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.36%Wt 0.024
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.49%Wt 0.065
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.13%Wt 0.041
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.36%Wt 0.024