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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2658
Game Recognize Game: Sue Bird
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$89.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $8.63 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $89.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $7.48 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $89.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
55
of 3,143 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago1.7%unopened
Rare55 / 3,143 (1.7%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common220 / 12,572 (1.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 55 / 3,143 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 220 / 12,572 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Breanna Stewart
Block · Jul 24, 2022
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$21.74
Mint 399
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Rhyne Howard
Steal · Jun 18, 2022
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Lauren Jackson
Layup · Sep 14, 2010
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.015
Sylvia Fowles
Layup · Oct 4, 2017
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.19
Recent Low
$9.10
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Arike Ogunbowale
Jump Shot · Jul 30, 2022
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.044
Jennifer Azzi
3 Pointer · Jul 5, 2003
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Diana Taurasi
Jump Shot · Sep 12, 2014
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Jewell Loyd
3 Pointer · May 12, 2022
WNBA Game Recognize Game
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Kelsey Plum
Layup · Jun 28, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.033
Nikolina Milic
Assist · May 7, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Kelsey Mitchell
Handles · May 31, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Jewell Loyd
Jump Shot · Jun 30, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Moriah Jefferson
Layup · Jun 24, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 6,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Nneka Ogwumike
Jump Shot · May 26, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Tiffany Hayes
Layup · Jul 20, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Brittney Sykes
3 Pointer · Jun 26, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.033
Natasha Howard
Layup · Jun 16, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.025
Sabrina Ionescu
Assist · Jun 30, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Ariel Atkins
Layup · Jul 15, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
DeWanna Bonner
3 Pointer · Jun 3, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Ezi Magbegor
Block · Jun 19, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.033
Sue Bird
Assist · May 19, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.73%Wt 0.047
Alyssa Thomas
Layup · Jul 28, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Arike Ogunbowale
3 Pointer · Jun 4, 2022
WNBA Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04