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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3057

Larry Bird Anthology: Larry Legend

Legendary1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1,999] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$404

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$404

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 83% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	LEGENDARY	42.86%	$2,550	82.6%
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	LEGENDARY	57.14%	$404	17.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $799 · 4mo agoRetail $1,9992 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$1,999

Actual EV

—

≈ $1,323 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,999

Typical Pull

$404

Grail premium $920 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,999

FMV coverage

100%

2 editions

Depletion

94%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 117 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

6.0%unopened

7 / 117 packs

Legendary7 / 117 (6.0%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	7 / 117	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

LegendaryHit 42.86%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$2,550

LegendaryHit 57.14%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$404

What's Inside

FMV priced 2 of 2 (100%)

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Flanete94	$799.00	72d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Flanete94	$799.00	72d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 2 of 2

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	LEGENDARY	6.12%	$2,550	$156
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	LEGENDARY	8.16%	$404	$32.95

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 3:25:16 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.