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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3059

Larry Bird Anthology: Rare Bird

Name: Larry Bird Anthology: Rare Bird
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 99 USD

Rare1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$88.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$54.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$27.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	45.71%	$25.00	44.9%
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	38.09%	$24.00	36.0%
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	16.19%	$30.00	19.1%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $79.00 · 7mo agoRetail $88.0016 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$88.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $25.43 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $88.00 ask

Typical Pull

$25.00

Grail premium $0.43 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $88.00 ask

FMV coverage

100%

3 editions

Depletion

93%

pool · as of 20h ago

Packs remaining

105

of 1,475 minted · as of 20h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 20h ago

7.1%unopened

105 / 1,475 packs

Rare105 / 1,475 (7.1%)

100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 20h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	105 / 1,475	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 16.19%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$30.00

RareHit 45.71%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$25.00

RareHit 38.10%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$24.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 3 of 3 (100%)

Larry Bird

Reel · Mar 12, 1985

The Anthology: Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 3 of 3

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.43%	$25.00	$0.11
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.36%	$24.00	$0.09
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.15%	$30.00	$0.05

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 6, 2026, 5:25 AM PT.