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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3059

Larry Bird Anthology: Rare Bird

Rare1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$88.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 65% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	46.23%	$37.60	51.6%
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	37.74%	$31.29	35.1%
Larry Bird · The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	16.04%	$28.05	13.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $79.00 · 4mo agoRetail $88.0016 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$88.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $34.12 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

Typical Pull

$34.56

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

FMV coverage

100%

3 editions

Depletion

93%

live pool

Packs remaining

106

of 1,476 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 23h ago

7.2%unopened

106 / 1,476 packs

Rare106 / 1,475 (7.2%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 23h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	106 / 1,475	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 46.23%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$37.60

RareHit 37.74%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$31.29

RareHit 16.04%

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

$28.05

What's Inside

FMV priced 3 of 3 (100%)

Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

The Anthology: Larry Bird

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 3 of 3

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.44%	$37.60	$0.16
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.36%	$31.29	$0.11
Larry Bird	The Anthology: Larry Bird	RARE	0.15%	$28.05	$0.04

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 2:13:11 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.