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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3103
Locker Pack (Release 16)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$84.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $84.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $9.30 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $84.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
442 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 15h ago
Packs remaining
240
of 14,377 minted · as of 15h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 15h ago1.7%unopened
Rare1 / 74 (1.4%)
0.42 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.51 · 0.8× launch rate
Common719 / 43,056 (1.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1 / 74 | 0.1% | ~1 in 240 |
| Common | 719 / 43,056 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 442 of 442 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Nov 16, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$719
Recent Low
$660
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Nov 17, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$165
Recent Low
$147
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Block · Aug 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$46.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
James Harden
Layup · Feb 5, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Andre Iguodala
Dunk · Aug 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Langston Galloway
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Kawhi Leonard
Layup · Oct 29, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Trae Young
Handles · Nov 6, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,978
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Aug 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Assist · Oct 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Sep 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Derrick Rose
Jump Shot · Dec 10, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jeff Teague
Handles · Feb 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Rajon Rondo
Jump Shot · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Matisse Thybulle
Block · Aug 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Aug 20, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,489
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
RJ Barrett
Layup · Oct 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,882
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Miles Bridges
Dunk · Nov 14, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.23
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Tyler Herro
Assist · Sep 8, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 2,252
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Bam Adebayo
Layup · Aug 18, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,611
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
