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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3140

Top Shot Tour: Souvenir Pack

Fandom4 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$3.30

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.30

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 100% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
— · The Tour	FANDOM	25.40%	$0.57	32.7%
— · The Tour	FANDOM	25.07%	$0.43	24.3%
— · The Tour	FANDOM	24.93%	$0.42	23.6%
— · The Tour	FANDOM	24.60%	$0.35	19.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 5mo agoRetail $10.0011 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$10.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.65 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00

Typical Pull

$1.72

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00

FMV coverage

100%

4 editions

Depletion

90%

live pool

Packs remaining

338

of 3,404 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

9.9%unopened

338 / 3,404 packs

Fandom1,496 / 13,616 (11%)

Pull odds by tier

4 slots/pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	1,496 / 13,616	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 4 of 4 (100%)

Portland Trail Blazers Reel

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 4 of 4

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Unknown	The Tour	FANDOM	0.33%	$0.57	$0.01
Unknown	The Tour	FANDOM	0.33%	$0.43	$0.01
Unknown	The Tour	FANDOM	0.33%	$0.42	$0.01
Unknown	The Tour	FANDOM	0.32%	$0.35	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 3:43:11 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.