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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3534
Premium Pack (Series 4, Release 4)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$65.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $58.12 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $65.00
Typical Pull
$45.78
Grail premium $12.34 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $65.00
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
134
of 3,843 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22h ago3.5%unopened
Rare134 / 3,858 (3.5%)
Common2,008 / 19,219 (10%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 134 / 3,858 | 6.3% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 2,008 / 19,219 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)LeBron James
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$30.50
Floor
$28.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Walker Kessler
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$21.68
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.045
Steph Curry
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.045
James Harden
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$11.25
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Devin Vassell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$10.39
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Kevin Durant
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.06
Brandon Ingram
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$9.90
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Clint Capela
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.55
Floor
$9.50
Mint 399
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.06
Michael Porter Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.25
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Paul George
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$7.63
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Karl-Anthony Towns
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$7.57
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Jaden Ivey
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$7.32
Floor
$6.99
Mint 399
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.06
Jerami Grant
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.097
Desmond Bane
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$5.93
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.06
Dejounte Murray
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$5.77
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Spencer Dinwiddie
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$5.17
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Bradley Beal
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
P.J. Washington
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.06
Tyler Herro
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007