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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3543
Quick Rip: Stress Test
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.00
Actual EV
$1.02
Net −$2.98 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.84
Grail premium $0.18 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.26x
-74.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
201 editions
Depletion
87%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
297
of 2,229 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago13%unopened
Common986 / 8,916 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 986 / 8,916 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 201 of 201 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LaMelo Ball
3 Pointer · Feb 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Block · Oct 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$2.21
Recent Low
$2.45
Mint 500
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 1, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.012
Haywood Highsmith
3 Pointer · Jan 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Explosion
FMV
$0.74
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 500
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Caleb Martin
3 Pointer · Nov 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Torn
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Caleb Martin
3 Pointer · Nov 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Jamal Murray
Assist · Oct 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 9.74%Wt 0.097
P.J. Washington
Block · Mar 26, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
Giannis Antetokounmpo
3 Pointer · Jan 30, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.014
Aaron Wiggins
Layup · Mar 4, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Vlatko Cančar
Dunk · Dec 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Kelly Olynyk
3 Pointer · Mar 21, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.93%Wt 0.019
James Harden
Layup · Feb 16, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Usman Garuba
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.014
Gabe Vincent
3 Pointer · Jan 13, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.012
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.012
Jeff Green
Dunk · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 8.11%Wt 0.081
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Feb 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.039
Keldon Johnson
Dunk · Jan 18, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.012
James Wiseman
Dunk · Mar 8, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Jeff Green
Dunk · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Mike Conley
Assist · Mar 20, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.83%Wt 0.018
Josh Okogie
Block · Mar 17, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 5,555
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017