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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3555

Rare Rip: NBA Con

Rare6 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$25.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

120

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 46% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jaden Hardy · Throwdowns	RARE	19.42%	$7.75	23.0%
Steph Curry · Video Game Numbers	RARE	12.62%	$11.05	21.3%
Pascal Siakam · Video Game Numbers	RARE	9.71%	$8.60	12.8%
Tyrese Haliburton · For the Win	RARE	13.59%	$6.14	12.7%
De'Aaron Fox · For the Win	RARE	11.65%	$4.83	8.6%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $39.00 · 1y agoRetail $25.0027 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$25.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $42.46 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00

Typical Pull

$36.84

Grail premium $5.62 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00

FMV coverage

100%

12 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 5,484 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 2h ago

1.8%unopened

98 / 5,484 packs

Rare97 / 5,484 (1.8%)

Common485 / 27,420 (1.8%)

Pull odds by tier

6 slots/pack · as of 2h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	97 / 5,484	17%	~1 in 2
Common	485 / 27,420	83%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 12 of 12 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 12

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jaden Hardy	Throwdowns	RARE	0.21%	$7.75	$0.10
Steph Curry	Video Game Numbers	RARE	0.14%	$11.05	$0.09
Pascal Siakam	Video Game Numbers	RARE	0.10%	$8.60	$0.05
Tyrese Haliburton	For the Win	RARE	0.15%	$6.14	$0.05
De'Aaron Fox	For the Win	RARE	0.12%	$4.83	$0.04
Dennis Smith Jr.	Throwdowns	RARE	0.12%	$4.35	$0.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.	Throwdowns	RARE	0.10%	$4.43	$0.03
DeMar DeRozan	Video Game Numbers	RARE	0.06%	$6.00	$0.02
LeBron James	Spotlight Series	COMMON	0.03%	$4.08	$0.01
Malik Monk	Base Set	COMMON	0.01%	$0.35	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 11:31:13 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.