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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3571

Rare Rip: NBA Finals Halftime Game 1

Rare6 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$48.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jamal Murray · For the Win	RARE	30.77%	$7.80	43.4%
Nikola Jokić · Video Game Numbers	RARE	19.23%	$9.20	32.0%
Tyler Herro · For the Win	RARE	26.92%	$4.23	20.6%
LeBron James · Spotlight Series	COMMON	3.85%	$4.08	2.8%
Donte DiVincenzo · Base Set	COMMON	7.69%	$0.29	0.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $40.00 · 2y agoRetail $48.004 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$48.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $33.20 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00

Typical Pull

$25.38

Grail premium $7.82 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00

FMV coverage

100%

8 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 999 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 2h ago

2.0%unopened

20 / 999 packs

Rare20 / 998 (2.0%)

Common100 / 4,995 (2.0%)

Pull odds by tier

6 slots/pack · as of 2h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	20 / 998	17%	~1 in 2
Common	100 / 4,995	83%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 8 of 8

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jamal Murray	For the Win	RARE	2.00%	$7.80	$0.94
Nikola Jokić	Video Game Numbers	RARE	1.25%	$9.20	$0.69
Tyler Herro	For the Win	RARE	1.75%	$4.23	$0.44
LeBron James	Spotlight Series	COMMON	0.25%	$4.08	$0.06
Donte DiVincenzo	Base Set	COMMON	0.50%	$0.29	$0.01
Josh Giddey	Base Set	COMMON	0.25%	$0.56	$0.01
Mitchell Robinson	Base Set	COMMON	0.25%	$0.34	$0.01
Ben Simmons	Base Set	COMMON	0.25%	$0.29	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 9:37:32 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.