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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3584
Stephen vs Sabrina 3-Point Challenge - Stephen Curry
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.00
Actual EV
$0.31
Net −$2.69 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 84% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.23
Grail premium $0.08 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.10x
-89.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 84% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
84%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
255
of 1,600 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago16%unopened
Common255 / 1,600 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 255 / 1,600 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.71%Wt 0.047
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.56
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.27%Wt 0.063
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.10%Wt 0.051
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Assist · Jan 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.016
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.043
Jalen Brunson
Layup · Nov 2, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Tyrese Maxey
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.031
Tyrese Maxey
Assist · Oct 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.75%Wt 0.027
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Jan 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Nikola Jokić
Assist · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Damian Lillard
Layup · Nov 10, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.035
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Oct 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.031
Bam Adebayo
Block · Jan 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 1, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.88%Wt 0.059
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Mar 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.043
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.035
Donovan Mitchell
Handles · Feb 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 9,999
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.031
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Apr 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.031
Devin Booker
Layup · Feb 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.71%Wt 0.047
Devin Booker
Steal · Nov 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.043
Trae Young
Assist · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.71%Wt 0.047
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Nov 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.035
