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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3646

Tip-Off Pack

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$50.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$22.96

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$7.65

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Andrew Nembhard · For the Win	RARE	7.14%	$8.45	18.8%
LeBron James · Base Set	COMMON	21.43%	$1.92	12.8%
Kevon Looney · For the Win	RARE	7.14%	$4.94	11.0%
Walker Kessler · Rookie Debut	COMMON	7.14%	$4.74	10.5%
Jalen Duren · Rookie Debut	COMMON	3.57%	$9.13	10.2%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$50.00

Actual EV

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (84% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (84% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

84%

live pool

Packs remaining

770

of 4,696 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 1h ago

16%unopened

770 / 4,696 packs

Rare9 / 79 (11%)

Common4,193 / 24,085 (17%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 1h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	9 / 79	0.2%	~1 in 94
Common	4,193 / 24,085	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Andrew Nembhard	For the Win	RARE	7.14%	$8.45	$3.02
LeBron James	Base Set	COMMON	21.43%	$1.92	$2.06
Kevon Looney	For the Win	RARE	7.14%	$4.94	$1.76
Walker Kessler	Rookie Debut	COMMON	7.14%	$4.74	$1.69
Jalen Duren	Rookie Debut	COMMON	3.57%	$9.13	$1.63
Harrison Barnes	Throwdowns	RARE	7.14%	$4.46	$1.59
Dillon Brooks	For the Win	RARE	7.14%	$4.25	$1.52
Brook Lopez	For the Win	RARE	3.57%	$5.05	$0.90
Tari Eason	Rookie Debut	COMMON	3.57%	$3.16	$0.56
Keegan Murray	Rookie Debut	COMMON	3.57%	$2.93	$0.52

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/6/2026, 4:01:38 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.