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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3658
Tip-Off Pack XL
Common10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$30.00
Actual EV
$3.53
Net −$26.47 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 82% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
Typical Pull
$2.30
Grail premium $1.23 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.12x
-88.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 82% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $30.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
355 editions
Depletion
82%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
1,002
of 5,669 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago18%unopened
Rare47 / 280 (17%)
4.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.9 · ≈ launch rate
Common9,998 / 57,156 (17%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 47 / 280 | 0.5% | ~1 in 22 |
| Common | 9,998 / 57,156 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 355 of 355 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Reel · Dec 31, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Dec 17, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Jalen Duren
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$7.98
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Walker Kessler
Layup · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.036
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
Jump Shot · Jan 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Nikola Vučević
Block · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.014
RJ Barrett
Dunk · Dec 18, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.30%Wt 0.013
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.012
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.012
Cade Cunningham
Layup · Oct 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.39%Wt 0.034
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Assist · Nov 15, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Tyler Herro
Layup · Feb 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.43%Wt 0.024
Draymond Green
Steal · Jan 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Brandon Ingram
Jump Shot · Feb 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.021
Zach LaVine
Layup · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Block · Jan 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Dec 3, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Karl-Anthony Towns
Handles · Nov 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Bradley Beal
Layup · Jan 31, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.019
Jalen Green
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.036
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Jan 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Chris Paul
Assist · Jan 23, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.021
