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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3873
Arcade Pack - Happy Birthday Top Shot
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.95
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.95
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.95
FMV coverage
—
0 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
1,562
of 32,014 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 11h ago4.9%unopened
Legendary0 / 9 (0.0%)
Rare73 / 1,603 (4.6%)
Common7,697 / 158,457 (4.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 9 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 73 / 1,603 | 0.9% | ~1 in 22 |
| Common | 7,697 / 158,457 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
pullable editionsDonovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$27.82
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.001
Utah Jazz Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$13.49
Floor
$14.99
Mint 500
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.001
Josh Hart
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.67
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.001
Oklahoma City Thunder Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 18.75%Wt 0.002
New York Knicks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.35
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 18.75%Wt 0.002
Chicago Bulls Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 18.75%Wt 0.002
Orlando Magic 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 25.00%Wt 0.003