What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #3873
Arcade Pack - Happy Birthday Top Shot
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.25 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.49 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $0.25 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
1027 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 23h ago
Packs remaining
1,545
of 32,014 minted · as of 23h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 23h ago4.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 9 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.03
Rare71 / 1,603 (4.4%)
4.6 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · ≈ launch rate
Common7,654 / 158,457 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 9 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 71 / 1,603 | 0.9% | ~1 in 22 |
| Common | 7,654 / 158,457 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 1,027 of 1027 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Mitchell
Block · Oct 26, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 0.01%Wt 0
Utah Jazz
Dunk · Dec 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.01%Wt 0
Denver Nuggets
Dunk · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Houston Rockets
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Portland Trail Blazers
Layup · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Miami Heat
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
New York Knicks
Dunk · Jan 17, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
LA Clippers
Dunk · Nov 17, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.50
Mint 500
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Golden State Warriors
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Chicago Bulls
Dunk · Jan 5, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Memphis Grizzlies
Dunk · Dec 26, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Cleveland Cavaliers
Dunk · Nov 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Orlando Magic
3 Pointer · Jan 12, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Philadelphia 76ers
Dunk · Jan 16, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Phoenix Suns
3 Pointer · Nov 21, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Atlanta Hawks
Dunk · Dec 31, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Toronto Raptors
Dunk · Jan 7, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Oklahoma City Thunder
Dunk · Nov 6, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.58
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Kyle Lowry
3 Pointer · May 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$1.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Feb 25, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Dejounte Murray
Handles · Mar 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005