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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4015
Arcade Pack - Rookie Debut 2024 (Trade Ticket Drop)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.76 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.49 ask
Typical Pull
$0.57
Grail premium $0.19 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
148 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
97
of 10,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.0%unopened
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Rare0 / 25 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.25
Common291 / 29,970 (1.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 0 / 25 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 291 / 29,970 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 148 of 148 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Clingan
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Tristan da Silva
Layup · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.18
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Carlton Carrington
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.69
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Dalton Knecht
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Isaiah Collier
Assist · Nov 8, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Ronald Holland II
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Rob Dillingham
Assist · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Ty Jerome
Assist · Feb 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Rajon Rondo
Layup · Jan 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Andre Drummond
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Tacko Fall
Block · Nov 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
R.J. Hampton
Layup · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Blake Griffin
Jump Shot · Oct 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Cole Anthony
Layup · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Georges Niang
Layup · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Justin Holiday
Dunk · Nov 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Isaiah Stewart
Block · Nov 2, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Richaun Holmes
Dunk · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Trae Young
Assist · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Trey Burke
Layup · Dec 14, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Boban Marjanović
Layup · Nov 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017