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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4077

WNBA Playoff Finals

Rare2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$239] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

201

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

401

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$157

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$78.63

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Breanna Stewart · 2024 WNBA Playoffs	LEGENDARY	25.00%	$216	82.2%
Napheesa Collier · 2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	25.00%	$17.75	6.8%
Bridget Carleton · 2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	16.67%	$18.56	4.7%
Alanna Smith · 2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	16.67%	$13.63	3.5%
Kayla McBride · 2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	8.33%	$13.93

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $198 · 1y agoRetail $239195 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$239

Actual EV

—

≈ $131 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $239

Typical Pull

$35.50

Grail premium $95.77 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $239

FMV coverage

100%

6 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 366 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

1.6%unopened

6 / 366 packs

Legendary3 / 96 (3.1%)

Rare9 / 636 (1.4%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	3 / 96	25%	~1 in 2
Rare	9 / 636	75%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 6

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Breanna Stewart	2024 WNBA Playoffs	LEGENDARY	8.33%	$216	$35.99
Napheesa Collier	2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	8.33%	$17.75	$2.96
Bridget Carleton	2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	5.56%	$18.56	$2.06
Alanna Smith	2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	5.56%	$13.63	$1.51
Kayla McBride	2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	2.78%	$13.93	$0.77
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	2024 WNBA Playoffs	RARE	2.78%	$8.50	$0.47

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 4:13:15 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.