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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4187
Nov 14th, 2024 Premium Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$45.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $10.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
Typical Pull
$3.95
Grail premium $6.38 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
45 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
36
of 3,633 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.0%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06
Legendary0 / 64 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.8
Rare36 / 3,567 (1.0%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 98 · ≈ launch rate
Common144 / 14,532 (1.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 64 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 36 / 3,567 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 144 / 14,532 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 45 of 45 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Paul George
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Gradey Dick
Floater · Nov 2, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Donovan Mitchell
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.75
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kyshawn George
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Oct 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Domantas Sabonis
Floater · Nov 5, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.13
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Michael Porter Jr.
Floater · Nov 11, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.88
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Jarrett Allen
Block · Oct 30, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Peyton Watson
Block · Nov 7, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.89
Mint 399
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jaylon Tyson
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Norman Powell
Handles · Nov 7, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Baylor Scheierman
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Christian Braun
Dunk · Nov 2, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 599
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Aaron Nesmith
Dunk · Oct 27, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Jaylen Wells
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.039
Jamal Shead
Floater · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.35
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Oso Ighodaro
Floater · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.69
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Yves Missi
Block · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Ja'Kobe Walter
Layup · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kyle Filipowski
Layup · Oct 30, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.91
Recent Low
$0.80
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Ryan Dunn
Block · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Antonio Reeves
3 Pointer · Nov 4, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.69
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Dillon Jones
3 Pointer · Nov 2, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.039
Jalen Smith
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,024
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056