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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4351
Dec 6, 2024 Premium Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$31.58
Actual EV
—
≈ $8.06 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $31.58 ask
Typical Pull
$1.55
Grail premium $6.51 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $31.58 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 15h ago
Packs remaining
100
of 3,695 minted · as of 15h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 15h ago2.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Legendary1 / 30 (3.3%)
1.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.81 · 1.2× launch rate
Rare99 / 3,685 (2.7%)
99 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common400 / 14,758 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 30 | 0.2% | ~1 in 100 |
| Rare | 99 / 3,685 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 400 / 14,758 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Nov 25, 2024
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$41.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Oct 29, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.49
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jalen Suggs
Block · Oct 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Shaedon Sharpe
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Scottie Barnes
Assist · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Alperen Şengün
Layup · Nov 27, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Ja Morant
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.94
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jaden Ivey
Floater · Nov 26, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Nikola Vučević
Hook Shot · Nov 8, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Naz Reid
Block · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Zach LaVine
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Payton Pritchard
Reel · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Bradley Beal
Block · Nov 27, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Drew Eubanks
Dunk · Nov 27, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Layup · Nov 8, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.05
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.80%Wt 0.038
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.20%Wt 0.032
Goga Bitadze
Block · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.94
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.80%Wt 0.048
Johnny Furphy
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Cade Cunningham
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.64
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.022
Nikola Vučević
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.034
James Harden
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.40%Wt 0.044