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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4432
Dec 13, 2024 Premium Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$28.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.99 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $28.00
Typical Pull
$2.25
Grail premium $7.74 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $28.00
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
157
of 4,232 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 33m ago3.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary0 / 50 (0.0%)
Rare160 / 4,271 (3.7%)
Common620 / 16,838 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 33m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 50 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 160 / 4,271 | 21% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 620 / 16,838 | 79% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)OG Anunoby
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$12.56
Floor
$1.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.096
Jalen Johnson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$9.50
Floor
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.038
Austin Reaves
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.019
Karl-Anthony Towns
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$8.10
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.045
Rudy Gobert
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.064
Bennedict Mathurin
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$7.21
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.064
Jalen Williams
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$5.95
Floor
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.115
James Harden
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.057
Devin Booker
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$5.37
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.032
Fred VanVleet
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.032
Isaiah Hartenstein
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.74%Wt 0.076
Jonathan Kuminga
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$4.70
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.025
Damian Lillard
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.38
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.74%Wt 0.076
Dereck Lively II
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.064
Tyler Herro
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.032
P.J. Washington
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.22
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.102
Spencer Dinwiddie
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.083
Ajay Mitchell
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$3.06
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.08%Wt 0.223
Donovan Mitchell
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$1.13
Floor
$1.25
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.24%Wt 0.274
Jamison Battle
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$0.87
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.63%Wt 0.159
Scottie Barnes
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.29
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.37%Wt 0.236
Myles Turner
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.10%Wt 0.268
Tyrese Maxey
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.25
Mint 1,500
Hit 7.11%Wt 0.312
Mikal Bridges
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.24
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.10%Wt 0.268