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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4432
Dec 13, 2024 Premium Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$28.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.14 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $28.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $5.99 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $28.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
43 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 44m ago
Packs remaining
155
of 4,232 minted · as of 44m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 44m ago3.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary0 / 50 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.2
Rare159 / 4,271 (3.7%)
103 per 100 sealed packs · launch 101 · ≈ launch rate
Common616 / 16,838 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 44m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 50 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 159 / 4,271 | 21% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 616 / 16,838 | 79% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 43 of 43 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Austin Reaves
Handles · Nov 11, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.45
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Rudy Gobert
Block · Oct 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.89
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Dec 2, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Karl-Anthony Towns
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Nov 27, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.98
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.015
OG Anunoby
Block · Dec 1, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.40
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Bennedict Mathurin
Dunk · Nov 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Jonathan Kuminga
Layup · Dec 6, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Ajay Mitchell
Assist · Oct 25, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.52%Wt 0.045
Jalen Williams
Block · Nov 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Dereck Lively II
Dunk · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Tyler Herro
Reel · Nov 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
James Harden
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
P.J. Washington
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Spencer Dinwiddie
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Isaiah Hartenstein
Block · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.015
Johnny Furphy
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.014
Jamison Battle
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.77
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.42%Wt 0.054
Malik Monk
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.39%Wt 0.044
Scottie Barnes
Floater · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.77%Wt 0.048
Mikal Bridges
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.29%Wt 0.053