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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4479
Freshman Gems Quick Rip, December 2024
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$23.45
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.84 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $23.45 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $2.21 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $23.45 ask
FMV coverage
100%
42 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
271
of 15,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 8 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Rare61 / 3,605 (1.7%)
23 per 100 sealed packs · launch 24 · ≈ launch rate
Common752 / 41,387 (1.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 8 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 61 / 3,605 | 7.5% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 752 / 41,387 | 92% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 42 of 42 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Stephon Castle
Assist · Dec 9, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$150
Recent Low
$125
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Matas Buzelis
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$38.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Zach Edey
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$26.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Donovan Clingan
Layup · Oct 25, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$19.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Kyle Filipowski
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$36.98
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Stephon Castle
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Ajay Mitchell
Layup · Oct 31, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Jamison Battle
3 Pointer · Nov 28, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$17.99
Mint 199
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Jaylen Wells
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Franz Wagner
Block · Nov 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.88
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Ivica Zubac
Dunk · Nov 5, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Nov 22, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Cole Anthony
Block · Dec 8, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Daniel Gafford
Dunk · Nov 17, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Draymond Green
Dunk · Dec 9, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.012
Moussa Diabaté
Block · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.71%Wt 0.027
Branden Carlson
Floater · Nov 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Cam Christie
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.041
Sam Merrill
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.52%Wt 0.065
Jake LaRavia
Layup · Nov 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.26%Wt 0.073
Julian Phillips
Block · Nov 12, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.01%Wt 0.07
Bogdan Bogdanović
Handles · Nov 26, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.10%Wt 0.091
Naji Marshall
Assist · Nov 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.12%Wt 0.081
Goga Bitadze
Dunk · Nov 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.49%Wt 0.085