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NBA Top Shot · Pack #454
Base Set (Series 3, Release 4)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.98
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.70 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.98 ask
Typical Pull
$0.57
Grail premium $0.13 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.98 ask
FMV coverage
100%
142 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 9h ago
Packs remaining
7,882
of 265,954 minted · as of 9h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 9h ago3.0%unopened
Common23,643 / 797,861 (3.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 9h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 23,643 / 797,861 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 142 of 142 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Franz Wagner
Dunk · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.39
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Alperen Şengün
Dunk · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.015
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.31%Wt 0.023
Tacko Fall
Block · Nov 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.023
Damian Lillard
Layup · Nov 10, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.50%Wt 0.015
Andre Drummond
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Lamar Stevens
Dunk · Nov 11, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
R.J. Hampton
Layup · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Ivica Zubac
Assist · Nov 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Andre Iguodala
Assist · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
John Collins
Dunk · Nov 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Josh Hart
Dunk · Nov 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
George Hill
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.37%Wt 0.024
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Nov 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Al Horford
Dunk · Nov 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Malcolm Brogdon
Layup · Nov 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Nov 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.31%Wt 0.023
Damian Jones
Dunk · Nov 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Lonnie Walker IV
Layup · Nov 17, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Seth Curry
Layup · Nov 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.021
Danilo Gallinari
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.024
Landry Shamet
Block · Nov 15, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.024
Clint Capela
Block · Nov 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023