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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4577
Holiday of Hoops Premium Pack
Rare
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$74.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.72 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $74.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.23
Grail premium $1.49 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $74.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
30 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
11
of 3,723 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago0.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Legendary0 / 183 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.9
Rare14 / 4,110 (0.3%)
127 per 100 sealed packs · launch 110 · 1.2× launch rate
Common41 / 14,320 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 183 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 14 / 4,110 | 25% | — |
| Common | 41 / 14,320 | 75% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 30 of 30 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Dec 9, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Tyrese Maxey
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Keyonte George
Block · Dec 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 5.45%Wt 0.055
Kyrie Irving
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
OG Anunoby
Block · Dec 1, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Bennedict Mathurin
Dunk · Nov 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jonathan Kuminga
Layup · Dec 6, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jabari Smith Jr.
Block · Dec 15, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jalen Green
Dunk · Dec 12, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.89
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jaden Ivey
Dunk · Oct 30, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Goga Bitadze
Dunk · Dec 11, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jalen Suggs
Jump Shot · Dec 11, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Alperen Şengün
Assist · Dec 12, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Sam Merrill
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Blake Wesley
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.45%Wt 0.055
Goga Bitadze
Dunk · Nov 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.45%Wt 0.055
Jaxson Hayes
Dunk · Oct 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Jordan McLaughlin
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Neemias Queta
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Kyrie Irving
Assist · Dec 11, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,500
Hit 10.91%Wt 0.109
Isaiah Joe
3 Pointer · Dec 11, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 1,500
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.073
Luguentz Dort
Steal · Dec 15, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
AJ Green
3 Pointer · Dec 18, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Isaiah Stewart
Block · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
