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NBA Top Shot · Pack #459
Rookie Debut (Series 1, Drop 2)
Rare9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$388
Actual EV
—
≈ $202 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$156
Grail premium $46.48 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
161
of 2,250 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago7.2%unopened
Rare483 / 6,750 (7.2%)
Common966 / 13,500 (7.2%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 483 / 6,750 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 966 / 13,500 | 67% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)Jalen Brunson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$125
Floor
$122
Mint 299
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.019
OG Anunoby
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$69.00
Floor
$43.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.025
Russell Westbrook
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$57.60
Floor
$35.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.031
Bam Adebayo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$48.95
Floor
$38.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.081
RJ Barrett
Rookie Debut
RARE1
FMV
$46.75
Floor
$32.00
Mint 250
Hit 5.16%Wt 0.137
Jarrell Brantley
Rookie Debut
RARE1
FMV
$42.30
Floor
$47.00
Mint 250
Hit 3.52%Wt 0.093
Darius Garland
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$41.40
Floor
$46.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.068
Derrick Rose
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$40.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.037
Jamal Murray
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$34.00
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.64%Wt 0.043
Rui Hachimura
Rookie Debut
RARE0
FMV
$27.50
Floor
$24.00
Mint 250
Hit 4.46%Wt 0.118
Jrue Holiday
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$25.00
Floor
$125
Mint 299
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.037
Ky Bowman
Rookie Debut
RARE0
FMV
$22.33
Floor
$13.00
Mint 250
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.124
CJ McCollum
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$21.99
Floor
$22.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.52%Wt 0.093
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$21.33
Floor
$19.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 1.41%Wt 0.037
Terrence Ross
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$18.50
Floor
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.056
Marcus Smart
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.04%Wt 0.186
Svi Mykhailiuk
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.10
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.40%Wt 0.143
Eric Paschall
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.10
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.087
Trevor Ariza
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$17.10
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.64%Wt 0.043
Dillon Brooks
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.46%Wt 0.118
Luguentz Dort
Rookie Debut
RARE0
FMV
$13.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 250
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.13
De'Andre Hunter
Rookie Debut
RARE1
FMV
$12.05
Floor
$11.00
Mint 250
Hit 4.46%Wt 0.118
Bismack Biyombo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$11.50
Floor
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.87%Wt 0.155
Jordan McLaughlin
Rookie Debut
RARE0
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 250
Hit 4.23%Wt 0.112