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NBA Top Shot · Pack #459
Rookie Debut (Series 1, Drop 2)
Rare9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$388
Actual EV
—
≈ $60.87 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $388 ask
Typical Pull
$18.00
Grail premium $42.87 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $388 ask
FMV coverage
100%
222 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
161
of 2,250 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago7.2%unopened
Rare483 / 6,750 (7.2%)
300 per 100 sealed packs · launch 300 · ≈ launch rate
Common966 / 13,500 (7.2%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 483 / 6,750 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 966 / 13,500 | 67% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 222 of 222 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$106
Recent Low
$89.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$43.00
Recent Low
$42.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Bam Adebayo
Block · Oct 29, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$42.00
Recent Low
$32.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Derrick Rose
Jump Shot · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.004
Darius Garland
Layup · Jan 19, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$46.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Russell Westbrook
Layup · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$34.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.003
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Dec 28, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$32.40
Recent Low
$36.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
RJ Barrett
Layup · Oct 24, 2019
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$37.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Jarrell Brantley
Layup · Aug 13, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$28.75
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Jan 23, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$60.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.003
Rui Hachimura
Dunk · Nov 9, 2019
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.004
Marcus Smart
Steal · Nov 21, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
CJ McCollum
Dunk · Nov 11, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Ky Bowman
Steal · Jan 9, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Dillon Brooks
Assist · Jan 4, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$24.55
Mint 299
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
Eric Paschall
Dunk · Jan 5, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.01
Montrezl Harrell
Dunk · Feb 14, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.99
Recent Low
$12.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Svi Mykhailiuk
3 Pointer · Jan 16, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.50
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.016
Luguentz Dort
Dunk · Jan 26, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Daniel Theis
Block · Jan 17, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Bol Bol
Dunk · Aug 7, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.87
Recent Low
$9.75
Mint 250
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
De'Andre Hunter
Dunk · Feb 21, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
Bismack Biyombo
Dunk · Jan 5, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017