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NBA Top Shot · Pack #464
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 5/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$348
Actual EV
$252
Net −$96.14 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$149
Grail premium $103 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.72x
-27.6% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
171
of 1,491 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago11%unopened
Rare171 / 1,491 (11%)
Common855 / 7,454 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 171 / 1,491 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 855 / 7,454 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$156
Floor
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$130
Floor
$125
Mint 1,431
Hit 6.43%Wt 0.064
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$128
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 4.68%Wt 0.047
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$97.05
Floor
$81.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$71.17
Floor
$62.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.012
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$58.00
Floor
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$54.69
Floor
$52.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Carmelo Anthony
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$43.50
Floor
$30.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.012
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$43.41
Floor
$36.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$40.36
Floor
$35.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 4.09%Wt 0.041
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$35.00
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 4.68%Wt 0.047
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$26.57
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$26.54
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$26.10
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$25.71
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$23.55
Floor
$19.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Aaron Gordon
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.75
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$22.38
Floor
$21.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.25
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.09%Wt 0.041
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$21.30
Floor
$20.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 4.09%Wt 0.041
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$20.07
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$18.60
Floor
$13.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 5.85%Wt 0.058
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$16.23
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$14.91
Floor
$13.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035