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NBA Top Shot · Pack #464
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 5/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$348
Actual EV
$59.91
Net −$288 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $348 ask
Typical Pull
$14.34
Grail premium $45.57 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.17x
-82.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $348 ask
FMV coverage
100%
192 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 53m ago
Packs remaining
171
of 1,491 minted · as of 53m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 53m ago11%unopened
Rare171 / 1,491 (11%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common855 / 7,454 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 53m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 171 / 1,491 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 855 / 7,454 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 192 of 192 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Feb 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$168
Recent Low
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Mar 12, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$143
Recent Low
$126
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Nikola Jokić
Handles · Dec 30, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$125
Recent Low
$123
Mint 1,430
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$82.00
Recent Low
$80.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Ja Morant
Dunk · Dec 12, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$58.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Nov 2, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$56.70
Recent Low
$63.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Kyrie Irving
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Handles · Dec 25, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Jarrett Allen
Block · Jan 8, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$32.49
Mint 299
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Zion Williamson
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Dunk · Nov 9, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$27.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Donovan Mitchell
Block · Oct 26, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.006
Devin Booker
Block · Nov 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.006
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Damian Lillard
Dunk · Oct 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Fred VanVleet
Handles · Oct 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Bam Adebayo
Block · Oct 29, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.01
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
James Harden
3 Pointer · Nov 23, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.01
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Nov 2, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.006
D'Angelo Russell
Block · Feb 27, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.019
Rudy Gobert
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$12.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Buddy Hield
Dunk · Dec 14, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008