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NBA Top Shot · Pack #465
Run It Back 2013-14 (Series 1, Drop 1)
Rare9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$390
Actual EV
—
≈ $286 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $390
Typical Pull
$212
Grail premium $74.02 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $390
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
70
of 1,742 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago4.0%unopened
Rare210 / 5,226 (4.0%)
Common420 / 10,452 (4.0%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 210 / 5,226 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 420 / 10,452 | 67% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Giannis Antetokounmpo
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$225
Floor
$186
Mint 275
Hit 1.74%Wt 0.057
Carmelo Anthony
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$86.15
Floor
$69.00
Mint 275
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.029
DeMarcus Cousins
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$65.70
Floor
$73.00
Mint 275
Hit 1.74%Wt 0.057
Michael Carter-Williams
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$52.00
Floor
$51.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Kelly Olynyk
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$51.00
Floor
$39.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Marc Gasol
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$50.40
Floor
$56.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.171
Steven Adams
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$43.20
Floor
$48.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.171
Jimmy Butler
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$39.60
Floor
$44.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$33.69
Floor
$25.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.171
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$30.60
Floor
$34.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.143
Dennis Schröder
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$30.00
Floor
$21.00
Mint 275
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.086
Kyle Lowry
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$27.50
Floor
$18.00
Mint 275
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.086
Brook Lopez
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$25.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.143
James Harden
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$24.00
Floor
$21.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Otto Porter Jr.
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$23.50
Floor
$21.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.171
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$23.50
Floor
$16.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.143
Chris Paul
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Victor Oladipo
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$20.70
Floor
$23.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.086
Udonis Haslem
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$19.80
Floor
$22.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.143
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.129
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$16.17
Floor
$14.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.143
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$15.20
Floor
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MVP Moves
RARE1
FMV
$14.45
Floor
$17.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.114