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NBA Top Shot · Pack #467
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 4/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$699
Actual EV
—
≈ $269 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $699
Typical Pull
$204
Grail premium $64.90 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $699
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
91%
live pool
Packs remaining
139
of 1,491 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago9.3%unopened
Rare139 / 1,491 (9.3%)
Common695 / 7,453 (9.3%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 139 / 1,491 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 695 / 7,453 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$180
Floor
$153
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.014
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$132
Floor
$121
Mint 1,431
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.014
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$112
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 4.40%Wt 0.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$102
Floor
$99.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$90.00
Floor
$100
Mint 299
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.022
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$67.18
Floor
$66.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Damian Lillard
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$49.00
Floor
$44.00
Mint 299
Hit 8.81%Wt 0.101
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$47.25
Floor
$14.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$41.21
Floor
$40.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.029
RJ Barrett
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$38.70
Floor
$43.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.036
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$37.50
Floor
$37.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Tyler Herro
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$36.60
Floor
$33.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.029
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$34.20
Floor
$38.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.036
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$33.63
Floor
$27.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.036
Carmelo Anthony
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$30.00
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.022
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$28.50
Floor
$28.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$23.08
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Mitchell Robinson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.50
Floor
$25.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.029
Rudy Gobert
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$21.67
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.029
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.25
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.029
Tobias Harris
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$21.00
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.036
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.043