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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4679
Metallic Gold LE January 2025
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$33.33
Actual EV
—
≈ $18.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $33.33 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $16.98 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $33.33 ask
FMV coverage
100%
54 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
150
of 2,816 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago5.3%unopened
Ultimate1 / 6 (17%)
0.67 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.21 · 3.1× launch rate
Rare150 / 2,852 (5.3%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 101 · ≈ launch rate
Common599 / 11,222 (5.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 1 / 6 | 0.1% | ~1 in 150 |
| Rare | 150 / 2,852 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 599 / 11,222 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 54 of 54 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
James Harden
Jump Shot · Oct 28, 2009
Supernova
ULTIMATESeries 2024-25
FMV
$1,450
Recent Low
—
Mint 10
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
OG Anunoby
Block · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$19.99
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · Dec 8, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Trae Young
3 Pointer · Nov 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Dec 17, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$9.99
Mint 299
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Zach LaVine
Reel · Nov 19, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Collin Sexton
Layup · Dec 2, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017
Cameron Johnson
Block · Dec 8, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
De'Aaron Fox
Steal · Nov 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Dunk · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.
Layup · Nov 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Jordan Poole
Layup · Dec 15, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
RJ Barrett
Dunk · Oct 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.13%Wt 0.021
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017
Sam Merrill
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.037
Kyle Lowry
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Marcus Sasser
3 Pointer · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Jaxson Hayes
Dunk · Oct 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.043
Neemias Queta
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Jose Alvarado
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.87%Wt 0.039
Luguentz Dort
Steal · Nov 12, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.60%Wt 0.056
Dorian Finney-Smith
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.13%Wt 0.041
KJ Martin
Block · Dec 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
