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NBA Top Shot · Pack #469
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 3, Wave 1/2)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$375
Actual EV
—
≈ $153 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $375
Typical Pull
$90.00
Grail premium $62.57 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $375
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
125
of 3,411 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 15h ago3.7%unopened
Rare125 / 3,411 (3.7%)
Common625 / 17,054 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 125 / 3,411 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 625 / 17,054 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)Jalen Brunson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$160
Floor
$117
Mint 299
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.032
Russell Westbrook
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$67.50
Floor
$75.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.04
OG Anunoby
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$65.21
Floor
$22.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Karl-Anthony Towns
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$50.29
Floor
$43.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.48%Wt 0.064
Darius Garland
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$41.40
Floor
$46.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.008
Derrick Rose
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$40.50
Floor
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.016
Bam Adebayo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$32.00
Floor
$28.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.016
Josh Hart
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$31.25
Floor
$28.00
Mint 299
Hit 12.33%Wt 0.144
Mikal Bridges
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$29.67
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.016
Jrue Holiday
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.50
Floor
$25.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Trevor Ariza
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$17.89
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Mike Conley
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.10
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.032
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Eric Paschall
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$16.00
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
Caris LeVert
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$15.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.024
LaMarcus Aldridge
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$14.50
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 8.22%Wt 0.096
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 6.16%Wt 0.072
Nerlens Noel
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$13.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.04
Jonas Valančiūnas
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$12.80
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.48%Wt 0.064
Terrence Ross
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$11.25
Floor
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.032
Evan Fournier
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.16%Wt 0.072