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NBA Top Shot · Pack #469
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 3, Wave 1/2)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$375
Actual EV
—
≈ $31.04 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $375 ask
Typical Pull
$7.20
Grail premium $23.84 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $375 ask
FMV coverage
100%
207 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
125
of 3,411 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.7%unopened
Rare125 / 3,411 (3.7%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common625 / 17,054 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 125 / 3,411 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 625 / 17,054 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 207 of 207 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$106
Recent Low
$89.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.005
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$43.00
Recent Low
$42.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Bam Adebayo
Block · Oct 29, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$42.00
Recent Low
$32.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$41.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Derrick Rose
Jump Shot · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Darius Garland
Layup · Jan 19, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$46.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Russell Westbrook
Layup · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$34.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Jan 23, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$60.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Josh Hart
Layup · Feb 24, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Trevor Ariza
Dunk · Jan 27, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$17.08
Recent Low
$18.98
Mint 299
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Aug 23, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Eric Paschall
Dunk · Jan 5, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Evan Fournier
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$17.94
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Nov 12, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.005
Terrence Ross
Dunk · Jan 19, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$18.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.005
Jonas Valančiūnas
Block · Jan 12, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Nerlens Noel
Dunk · Dec 9, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$9.99
Mint 299
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
LaMarcus Aldridge
Jump Shot · Jan 18, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.65
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.60
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009